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as social control, looking at the tendencies of people to base their actions not only on their own beliefs and attitudes, but also on what others think about them. Because, as social animals, we need and require approval from the group for what we do, we regulate and censor our own beliefs and activities to assure that they will meet with that approval (Noelle-Neumann, 1993). Thus, we have not only our own rationally-formed individual opinions, but our expression of opinion as conditioned by what the group thinks about us. Because the latter process is based on this need for group approval, it is seen as less rational than raisonnement and ultimately more affective. It can even lead to irrationally-held opinions.

      Both tracks of thinking have had great impact on media effects work. Rational ideas about opinion are seen in work that seeks to understand how individuals form opinions; we notice it quite clearly in the frequent use of psychological theories that explain how people extract facts and images from media and build those logically into attitudes and opinions. On this track, media in effect become a prime source of, if not the prime source of, personal opinion. The huge body of literature that has developed on attitude change is of this stripe. Media are seen as variables that can play a direct role in the formation of rationally held attitudes, and they have the capacity to change attitudes that might be strongly held by individuals.

      Conversely, the idea of opinion as social control also influenced several major theories of media effect, including Noelle-Neumann’s own “spiral of silence” theory, as well as Gerbner’s “cultivation” theory (more on these later as well). On this darker view of opinion, media messages come to be seen as possibly sinister forces that can “manufacture” opinion in directions sought by elites. Because people have an instinctual need to know what others think about their own opinions, and because media provide the main vehicle for disseminating information about the popularity of opinions, media play an outsize role in drawing support for what eventually become the majoritarian positions. Public susceptibility to media messages, driven by an a-rational need to conform, becomes another important part of the media effects picture, especially in relation to phenomena such as propaganda.

      the history of public opinion has been written primarily with reference to channels of communication, e.g., the marketplace in ancient Greece; the theater in Imperial Rome; the sermons, letters, ballads and travels in the Middle Ages; pamphlets, newspapers, books and lectures, telegraph, radio and film in modern times. (pp. 379–80)

      Without sufficient means to carry and represent the views of the people, there is no medium within which opinion can form, as it requires a dynamic and reciprocal process of the creation and sharing of views. Even wearing its darker vestments of social control, opinion adapts to the media of its time. Thus, media channels make an important difference in terms of how opinion is expressed; media matters in the control of opinion as well. It was the evolution of media toward a mass characteristic that made a most important difference for what we now call media effects research.

      What were the media that created and served this mass? Beginning with the development of mass newspapers in the 1830s, media technology evolved very quickly, including the development of telegraph, telephone, photography, recorded sound, and film, all in a period of less than 100 years. Each new medium brought exciting and radically new possibilities for knowing about the world. Also, they brought social change that was usually poorly understood in terms of its potential negative consequences.

      Media that could address the mass meant the construction of a characteristically mass audience (Butsch, 2000). Sensing the eventual predominance of the mass audience, around the turn of the twentieth century, sociologist Gustav Le Bon had developed the idea that “crowds” could be analyzed as a unit, leading to notions that public opinion, though composed of many individual opinions, ironically acts with something like an intentional and centrifugal force, one that was changing the governance of nations:

      the voice of the masses has become preponderant. It is this voice that dictates their conduct to kings, whose endeavor is to take note of its utterances. The destinies of nations are elaborated at present in the heart of the masses, and no longer in the councils of princes. (Le Bon, 1952 [1896], p. 16)

      Le Bon’s writings on the topic crystallized some of the feelings that were to galvanize media effects researchers. His conception of the crowd was based in what Freud would later call the “id.” “When studying the fundamental characteristics of a crowd we stated that it is guided almost exclusively by unconscious motives. Its acts are far more under the influence of the spinal cord than of the brain” (1952 [1896], pp. 16–17). The crowd acts instinctually and irrationally, and not much can be expected from it in terms of explaining why it reacts in the way that it does. Despite the difficulty in explaining crowd behavior, the idea that mass media play an important causal role is not easily dismissed. Images, feelings, reactions: these are the stock-in-trade of the crowd, which can swing wildly from one pole to the next. Le Bon’s ideas had been formed by things that were starting to happen as early as the French Revolution, but it was the media developments of the twentieth century that allowed his work to have continued relevance.

      Another facet of media effects thinking that Le Bon’s work predicted was the appeal of stories and narratives to the crowd. Crowds and masses seemed especially good at seizing a particular narrative, and then carrying out actions based on the moral of that story with much more zest than an individual could. Le Bon’s view of history is instructive:

      Unfortunately, legends – even although they have been definitely put on record by books – have in themselves no stability. The imagination of the crowd continually transforms them as the result of the lapse of time … (Le Bon, 1952 [1896], p. 48)

      Public consternation with the new powers of the mass – basically a crowd acting under the influence of coordinated media messages designed for and directed to that crowd – was an important factor that contributed to later research interest in media effects.

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