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The monograph offered to the attention of readers is the second in the series devoted to the development of probabilistic economic theory. This book presents principles of physical economics, new economic discipline primarily concerned in the book with the agent-based physical modeling of the market economic systems and eventually with the elaborating of probabilistic economic theory. At the heart of physical economics and probabilistic economic theory are the well-known cornerstone concepts of classical economics, in particular the subjective theory of value, such as regularity in the sequence of market phenomena and an interdependence of those, as well as key roles of individuals’ actions and social cooperation in the many-agent market processes. This monograph may seem interesting to everyone who is engaged in research in economics, finance, econophysics or physical economics, as well as to professional investors and stock traders.

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This is the first monograph in a series devoted to the development of probabilistic economic theory (Kondratenko, 2005, 2015, 2021). It outlines the fundamental concepts of this theory. This monograph may seem interesting to everyone who is engaged in research ineconomics, finance, econophysics or physical economics, as well as to professional investors and stock traders.

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This monograph presents the foundations of the probabilistic theory of stock exchanges, built on the basis of probabilistic economic theory. Analytical and numerical methods of this theory are used for calculation of temporal dynamics of market prices and trade volumes of various assets on the Moscow Exchange and Intercontinental Exchange Futures Europe during one trading session and a detailed comparison of the theoretical results with the corresponding experimental data. This comparison demonstrates a good agreement between the theory and experiment, which allows us to assert that the main scientif ic problem of this study is solved inthe monograph, namely, it is shown that probabilistic economic theory finds its experimental confirmation and thereby acquires its solid experimental justification.This monograph may seem interesting to everyone who is engaged in research ineconomics, finance, econophysics or physical economics, as well as to professional investors and stock traders.

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