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account the possibility of different interests. That is, to assess a scientific claim, the needs and desires of the investigator are relevant. When asked if a forest fire should be allowed to burn, an ecologist might answer that the dominant trees in the ecosystem of concern are pyrophytic, requiring fire to reproduce, so “let it burn.” But another ecologist might answer that the last surviving population of the endangered yellow-spotted salamander lives in the ponds within the burning forest and the fire should be extinguished to conserve this species. And an ecologist working for a forest products company might insist that jobs would be lost if the fire is not controlled.

      1.5 Conclusion

      This completes our brief survey of some central concepts in epistemology, such as the concepts of epistemic reasons, knowledge, and truth. As you can imagine, there is much more to be said on all of the topics we touched on. The suggested readings provide further and deeper treatments of many of those topics, if you are interested. Having shown that scientific knowledge most often involves some form of inductive reasoning from evidence, we next go one step deeper and turn to a fundamental question in the philosophy of science: What is the nature of evidence, and how can we access evidence?

      Notes

      1 1 The debate between a dynamic theory of heat and the defenders of the caloric account was an important stage in the development of thermodynamics. Early defenders of the dynamic theory included Galilei Galileo, Isaac Newton, and Robert Boyle, who thought that heat is due to the internal motion of particles. This however was difficult to reconcile with the discovery of latent heat (i.e., the heat absorbed by a substance that undergoes phase change, e.g., melting, but doesn’t rise in temperature) in 1757 by Joseph Black. For details, see Robert D. Purrington, Physics in the Nineteenth Century, Rutgers University Press, 1997, pp. 75–101.

      2 2 Elliott Sober, Philosophy of Biology. Westview Press, 1993, p. 32.

      3 3 A form of inference related to inductive inferences is reasoning by analogy. We’ll say more about this in Chapter 9.

      4 4 A very simple Gettier case involves a clock whose hand is stuck at 5. If you don’t know the clock is broken, you are justified in believing the time it indicates (it has worked reliably so far). Moreover, if you just happen to look at that clock when in fact it is 5 o’clock, you have a true belief that is also justified. But few would say that this justified true belief counts as knowledge of the time, because your belief is only accidentally true.

      Annotated Bibliography

      Ronald Giere, 2006, Scientific Perspectivism. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

      Giere argues that scientific claims are conditioned on highly confirmed theory or reliable observations such that if the assumptions of the underlying theories or the biophysical properties of the instrument/observer changes, then the result can be a different, even incommensurable, accounts of the natural world. There is no complete, objective, or singularly correct account of the world through correspondence how the world really is.

      Alvin I. Goldman and Matthew McGrath, 2015, Epistemology. A Contemporary Introduction. New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press. This book contains advanced discussions of the structure and nature of justification, the Gettier problem, skepticism, and contextualism. It also covers methodological questions concerning the use of intuitions as evidence as well as important new developments in social epistemology which are important for understanding how knowledge emerges from research teams, as opposed to individual scientists.

      David Manley, 2019, Reason Better: An Interdisciplinary Guide to Critical Thinking (Tophat Monocle) https://app.tophat.com/e/455176/assigned This recent and very accessible book on critical thinking covers many of the concepts we encountered in this chapter, such as reasoning and inference. In addition, it contains illuminating discussions of various biases, inferential fallacies, and cognitive illusions that can interfere with successful reasoning.

      2.1 The Promises of Evidence

      What’s so great about evidence? Science is often regarded as the paradigmatically rational way to gain knowledge about the natural world. In particular, it has been argued that in contrast to ideology, religion, and mysticism, science is both appropriately responsive to how the world actually is and allows for a rational resolution of disputes between different theories about the world. Both of these features of science are intimately tied to its use of evidence. Evidence, at least ideally, is publicly accessible, sharable, and can serve as an arbiter in the competition between different theories. In other words, in contrast to disputes between different religious beliefs, political worldviews or economic ideologies, which typically cannot be resolved by appealing to a neutral standard, science solves such disputes in a rational manner, because it has access to a neutral standard: evidence.

       An observable feature O of the world is evidence for the existence of an unobserved or unobservable feature U of the world if and only if U caused O, and O thereby indicates the existence of U.

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