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Such change is evident from a consideration of cereal production in the UK. Cereals were traditionally sown in the spring, but MAFF (Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food) statistics show that by 1985, 75% of the crop was sown in the autumn (Martin, 1987) with major changes in the weed flora. In the 1950s and 1960s the greater area of spring cereals encouraged spring‐germinating broadleaf weeds such as knotgrass (P. aviculare), redshank (P. persicaria), black bindweed (Bilderdykia convolvulus), poppy (Papaver rhoeas), charlock (Sinapis arvensis), chickweed (Stellaria media) and fat hen (Chenopodium album). The move to winter cereals has meant less competition from these spring weeds because the crop is already established. However, winter cereals have encouraged weeds that germinate and establish in the autumn and early spring, particularly cleavers (G. aparine), speedwells (Veronica spp.), chickweed (S. media) and field pansy (Viola arvensis). Similarly, traditional cereal cultivation techniques based on ploughing have given way to direct drilling and minimal cultivations using tines and discs, which are less costly and energy intensive. Indeed, Chancellor and Froud‐Williams (1986) have estimated that 40% of arable land in the UK is now cultivated without ploughing. One consequence is a reduction in the density of many annual broad‐leaf weeds since they require deep soil disturbance to bring buried seeds to the surface; a lack of seed return owing to herbicide use has also encouraged this decline. On the other hand, minimum cultivation has led to an increased abundance of annual grasses, particularly of species which readily establish near the soil surface and which have relatively short periods of dormancy. The main examples are black‐grass (A. myosuroides), meadowgrass (Poa spp.) and sterile brome (Anisantha sterilis). Wild oats (A. fatua) have also flourished in minimum cultivation, even though their seed requires moderate burial. These observations have been quantified in a major, large‐scale survey of weeds present in winter cereals in the UK (Table 1.12).

      The frequency of creeping perennials has also increased with minimal cultivation, for example field bindweed (C. arvensis) and Canada thistle (C. arvense). Chancellor and Froud‐Williams (1986) also point to the occurrence of unusual species in undisturbed arable land, particularly wind‐dispersed seeds of the genera Epilobium, Artemisia, Conyza and Lactuca, and suggest that these may be the problem weeds of the future. Current increases in minimum and zero cultivation methods for establishment of cereal and oilseed crops, for environmental and financial reasons, will undoubtedly be mirrored by further changes in the weed spectrum of arable land.

Table 1.12 Main broadleaf weeds and grass weeds present in 2359 winter cereal fields.

      Source: Whitehead, R. and Wright, H.C. (1989) The incidence of weeds in winter cereals in Great Britain. Brighton Crop Protection Conference, Weeds 1, 107–112.

Broadleaf weeds	Fields infested (%)	Grass weeds	Fields infested (%)
Stellaria media	94	Poa annua	79
Veronica persica	72	Avena spp.	42
Matricaria spp.	67	Alopecurus myosuroides	38
Galium aparine	58	Elytrigia repens	21
Lamium purpureum	47	Lolium spp.	14
Viola arvensis	45	Anisantha sterilis	13
Sinapis arvensis	36	Poa trivialis	7
Veronica hederifolia	30	Volunteer cereals	7
Capsella bursa‐pastoris	23
Volunteer oilseed rape	23
Papaver rhoeas	18
Fumaria officinalis	17
Chenopodium album	13
Aphanes arvensis	12
Geranium spp.	11

Herbicide choice and use has also had a profound effect on the weed flora in cereals (Martin, 1987). The use of 2,4‐D and MCPA since the late 1940s has caused a decline in many susceptible weeds, such as charlock (S. arvensis) and poppy (Papaver rhoeas), although more tolerant species, including chickweed (S. media), knotgrass (P. aviculare) and the speedwells (Veronica spp.), have prospered. The introduction of herbicide mixtures in the 1960s with, for example, mecoprop and ioxynil, gave a much wider spectrum of weed control. Other herbicides have since been developed for an autumn‐applied, residual action, including, for example, chlorsulfuron and chlorotoluron for improved control of grasses, and new molecules for the control of specific weeds, for example fluroxypyr for cleavers (G. aparine). However, the same principles will always apply, namely that the selection pressure caused by sustained herbicide use will allow less‐susceptible weed species to become dominant, and their continued use may encourage the selection of herbicide‐resistant individuals within a species, as has now occurred to many herbicides (see Chapter 13).

      Climate change is predicted to have significant effects on both the geographical distribution of weeds and the severity of weed infestations. Evolutionary rate (for instance, in the development of herbicide resistance) has been demonstrated to vary dependent upon both temperature and moisture availability. This is probably a result of a combination of factors including generation time, population size and relative fitness of herbicide‐resistant individuals. All of these factors may be affected by increased average global temperatures and subsequent differences in regional weather patterns (Anon., 2000). In addition, milder winters

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